Crystal ball gazing for Booker prize 2015

Tomorrow sees the announcement of the Man Booker Prize longlist for 2015. I was hesitating from making some predictions of what we might see since a) my previous attempts at anticipating the winners and losers have not exactly been stellar and b) I’m struggling to think of 13 titles which is the traditional number on the longlist.

But having scratched my head for several hours I’ve come up with a few that meet the stipulation that only novels written originally in English and published in the UK (regardless of the author’s nationality) can enter. The book has to have been published between October 2014 and September 2015.

First up are two novels I hope don’t win. I know that sounds a bit mean and disrespectful to the author if either is truly considered the best of the last 12 months. But neither of these books interests me and if it wins I will have to read it as part of my Booker Prize project.

Buried GiantI do expect to see The Buried Giant by Kazuo Ishiguro on the longest, and probably on the shortlist, given his stature and the fact this is his first novel for 10 years. It’s attracted widespread acclaim. I had planned to read it and even to see the great man at the Hay Festival but then discovered that much of it was a fantasy and it contained non human creatures that talk (a bug bear of mine). My library reservation was cancelled.


A God in RuinsAnother prediction I hope doesn’t materialise is Kate Atkinson’s A God in RuinsThis is another book I’ve not read but since it’s a companion to her earlier novel Life after Life which I could not finish (I got completely bored with it ) I’m not keen to read this one. I may be lucky here since she hasn’t made it to the longlist in the past and she’s written far better novels.



And now to the books I would like to see at least long listed.

Flood of FireFlood of Fire by Amitav Ghosh. This is the third novel in the Ibis Trilogy which began with Sea of Poppies set against a background of the Opium Wars in China. His latest novel Flood of Fire returns to the outbreak of that time and follows a cast of characters through to China’s devastating defeat and Britain’s seizure of Hong Kong. Ghosh is someone who meticulously researches his novel and brings the historic period to life through some well-drawn characters. I’m relatively new to his novels but have enjoyed everything I’ve read so far.


god help the childThe change in rules which came about last year means that American authors can now enter the Booker Prize. Which means we could see Toni Morrison, winner of the 1993 Nobel Prize in Literature and 1998 Pulitzer Prize, enter the fray with God Help the Child. Robinson is known as an author of epic themes and for raising the American consciousness. In her latest novel she explores how the sufferings of childhood shape the life of the adult, about the nature of beauty and veneration of being black.

I’m saving my favourite for last….

Norah WebsterNorah Webster by Colm Tóibín, a tremendous study of grief and the rebuilding of a life in 1960s Eire. Norah is recently widowed, left with four children, little money, no job and far too many people trying to tell her how best to organise her life from here on. It’s a story told in chronological order, following Norah’s consciousness as she shapes her new life inch by inch. Tóibín is no stranger to the Booker Prize – he’s been on the shortlist three times:  in 1999 for The Blackwater Lightship, in 2004 for The Master’ and 2014 for The Testament of Mary. Could this be his lucky year??

If you don’t trust my predictions and would like some alternative crystal ball views take a look at:


About BookerTalk

What do you need to know about me? 1. I'm from Wales which is one of the countries in the UK and must never be confused with England. 2. My life has always revolved around the written and spoken word. I worked as a journalist for nine years then in international corporate communications 3. My tastes in books are eclectic. I love realism and hate science fiction and science fantasy. 4. I am trying to broaden my reading horizons geographically by reading more books in translation

Posted on July 28, 2015, in Man Booker Prize and tagged , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 34 Comments.

  1. Julian Barnes definitely had a point when he called the Booker “posh bingo”. I liked Nora Webster too and think Toibin pitched the tone brilliantly.

  2. It appears that neither Ishiguro nor Atkinson made the longlist. Still, I must make a plug for The Buried Giant. It is not a fantasy novel and there are no talking animals in it. It is very much an allegorical kind of story that takes place in Britain not long after the time or King Arthur. There is mention of ogres but only in the context of people disappearing when they go out in the forest or on a journey. There is also a dragon but the dragon is firmly part of the allegory and not a talking treasure-hoarding Smaug. It’s a very good book and if you like Ishiguro it is one you shouldn’t miss 🙂

  3. I haven’t read any of them so I can’t join in. I own God in Ruins, but haven’t read it yet.

  4. I loved Nora Webster. Definitely one of my favourite books from the past year. I was inspired to read The Blackwater Lightship afterwards and enjoyed that one as well.

  5. Ishiguro is a shoo-in. I haven’t read his latest though, but seeing the mixed reviews makes me feel a bit hesitant. I have never been successful in predicting long/short lists but here are some of mine:

    The Buried Giant By Kazuo Ishiguro
    Lila by Marilynne Robinson (the only one I read, but not sure if its publication date of Oct 7 is qualified for this year)
    Preparation for the Next Life by Atticus Lish (the novel seems great; I listened to a discussion on KCRW Bookworm podcast)
    Aquarium by David Vann (same with above)
    Mislaid by Nell Zink (lots of buzz created on social media)
    The Green Road by Anne Enright (has a nice review by James Wood)

    The rest are yet to be published. This is my gripe with the Booker Prize. But anyway:

    The Salman Rushdie
    The Jonathan Franzen
    The David Mitchell
    And probably the Amitav Ghosh

    There, I have ten. I can’ t think of three more. 🙂

  6. It’s interesting to see your thoughts on this. I’m rather out of touch with recent releases but the one that does interest me is Nora Webster, I’d be very surprised not to see it on the longlist.

  7. Interesting. I would love to see if Toni Morrison, one of my favorite writers, can make it since she is a big name in literary writings. ^^

  8. sylviemarieheroux

    I just finished Nora Webster (still have to post about it on my blog), but I absolutely loved it. I get hooked on Colm Toibin about 3 years ago and I just have to read him now. There is something about that understated emotion that gets to me every time.

    • this was my first experience with him but I do want to read more sylvie. is there one that you would recommend beyond Nora Webster

      • sylviemarieheroux

        My first one was Brooklyn, then I went on to The Blackwater Lightship. It features the same world of Enniscorthy, County Wexford. I love The Master but it is quite different; it is about Henry James, one of my fav American classics. I did not like The Testament of Mary so much, but the writing was very good.

  9. If The Buried Giant wins, pigs will fly. I’m a fan of Ishiguro, but this work was not his strongest effort. He can do better.

    Out of all your predictions, which one would you recommend?

    • Hi James, Undoubtedly it would be Nora Webster I would recommend. Ishiguro does seem to have divided opinions a lot. Critics seem to have loved him but ‘ordinary readers’ said it was dull and they felt the characterisation was lacking.

  10. I’m excited to see the longlist, too! I’ve no idea who’s gonna be on it, but a few other bloggers who have posted about this topic have predicted Kazuo Ishiguro and Kate Atkinson too.

  11. We also wrote a prediction post about this today. I’m curious to see what you think about our predictions I agree with you about the ones you don’t want to see on the list. I hope the Colm Tóibín book makes it and I hadn’t thought to include Ghosh’s book, but you’re probably right

    • Oh sorry I am so far behind with my feed reader at the moment that I missed your post on this. Just left you a message. Will be interesting to see in a few hours time if we got anywhere close

  12. I have read very little published in 2015 so have no predictions to offer. I would expect Ishiguro to be there though. I have a copy of Nora Webster which I am intending to read soon and I also have Wolf Border on my kindle which I have seen mentioned by some. One novel published in 2015 which I thought glorious (but its not a Booker book so have no expectations for it ) was The Evening Chorus by Helen Humphreys.

    • I think you would enjoy Nora Webster, Ali because you seem to like books which have strong female characters and are a study in character. As for Evening Chorus, I’ve not come across this yet but like you my reading of 2015 titles is very slim.

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